According to one study, the most harmful and most beneficial changes in our digital lives are likely to occur by 2035. Pew Research Center report Predict the best and worst of future digital life with the spread of artificial intelligence.
Insights from the Pew Research Center report explored human choices and how to use technology with good intentions or with bad intentions between December 27, 2022 and February 21, 2023. From technology innovators, developers, researchers, academics and policy leaders. It will change the world.
Jamila KnowlesAI Specialist, Former Blog Editor huffington post and BBC presenters outriders radio 5 livesaid the 2035 timescale presented in the report was interesting. “We’re a little over 10 years away from 2035, so about 10 more years, and maybe 10 years from now, we’re going to worry about statins and hormone replacement therapy as much as we worry about better AI images.” said Knowles.
Knowles quotes American researcher Roy Amara on this point, stating: ‘We tend to overestimate the impact of technology in the short term and underestimate it in the long term. ”
“We can only really deal with things as they are now, and our needs today will obviously change in 10 years, our priorities will change, and maybe we’re completely AI at this point. Things that aren’t driven can change our worldview: the cost of living, the macroeconomics, the humanitarian standpoint,” said Knowles.
“We’re not looking too closely at the future,” Knowles said. ‘ said. “Of course, this research is about AI, but other technologies may emerge that give AI a whole new meaning.”
fear and hope
The 305 professionals surveyed said they expected dramatic improvements in health care and education, but some expressed concerns: match the statement Technology leaders and AI experts recently announced that AI poses an “extinction threat” to humanity and should be addressed with the same urgency as a pandemic or nuclear war.
Each expert’s concerns and hopes were grouped into the same categories, including human rights, the development of human-centered digital tools and systems, future harm to human knowledge, and future harm to human connections, governance, and institutions.
Seventy-nine percent of the professionals surveyed said they were more concerned than excited about upcoming technological changes, or equally concerned and excited.
On human rights, the report’s experts worry that new threats to rights will emerge as privacy becomes more complex or, by some, unsustainable. They cite advances in surveillance, advanced bots embedded in civil space, the prevalence of deepfakes and disinformation, advanced facial recognition systems, and growing social and digital divides as imminent threats. A salient human rights concern, the report said, is the prospect that increasingly sophisticated AI will lead to job losses, resulting in increased poverty and reduced human dignity.
Anders Lilevik, CEO focal pointCompanies that provide corporate procurement management platforms said they were concerned about future human rights violations.
“While there is legitimate concern that AI will adversely affect human rights, there is a huge opportunity to use AI as a force for positive gain,” said Lilevik. “This goes beyond digital security and rights and concerns concrete things like the end of modern slavery.”
“By increasing required by global law “Companies need to scrutinize their business partners to identify child labor, forced labor and other human rights abuses in their supply chains, which entails analyzing vast amounts of data. “It’s getting more and more demanding,” said Lilevik. Their suppliers, in turn, will need to consume and analyze vast amounts of data. ”
Lilevik said this data should be collected from suppliers and independent third-party data sources and compared, contrasted and analyzed.
“AI has the potential to perform and stay ahead of these seemingly insurmountable tasks,” Lilevik said. “Humans have to make the final decision on how to act on the analysis presented to them.”
Despite concerns, there is also hope among the experts surveyed for the report, with 18% of the experts surveyed for the report more excited than concerned about upcoming technological change. 42% said they were excited as well as concerned.
Hopeful experts said that “societies could adopt new digital standards and regulations that promote pro-social digital activity and minimize anti-social activity,” according to the report. Stated. They predicted that people would develop new norms of digital life and become more digitally literate in their social and political interactions. The same experts also believed that these changes could impact digital life towards promoting human agency, security, privacy and data protection in the best-case scenario.
Mark Chaffee, CEO hacker jobThe full-stack tech hiring platform said it was struck by a comment from one of the surveyed experts in its report.
Digital and immersive technologies and artificial intelligence will continue to dramatically transform human connections and knowledge across the domains of work, entertainment and social engagement, says Terry Horton, a work futurist at FuturePath, in a pu report. pointed out that it would. “By 2035, talent acquisition, onboarding, learning and development, performance management, and the shift of immersive remote work experiences into the metaverse will be enabled, standardized, and optimized by Web3 technologies.” Horton said in a report.
“Talent acquisition, onboarding, learning and development, performance management, and what I love about the concept of immersive remote work experiences moving to the metaverse is that it democratizes access to opportunities,” Chaffey said. said. “Talent is everywhere, chance is not.”
Chaffee said the metaverse will accelerate how remote work opens up opportunities for people to work for top companies around the world, wherever they are.
“But the idea that all jobs will move to the metaverse misses the idea that as humans we are inherently social creatures,” Chaffee said. “We value each other and our relationships too much.In 2035, people will still want those relationships.”
Similarly, Chaffey says generative AI will change the role of knowledge workers. “By 2035, tasks such as talent acquisition and software engineering will be highly AI-enhanced. Every knowledge worker will have and will be able to take advantage of an AI co-pilot.”
“But relationships cannot be automated. It will always be driven by humans,” Chaffee added.
Here’s the full Pew Center report: Available For free.